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In 2026, officials see two additional cuts, bringing the fed funds rate down to 3.4%. In September, officials had pegged interest rates to come down to 2.9% in 2026.
Next year, the majority of officials see the fed funds rate hitting 3.4%, lower than the 4.1% anticipated in its prior forecast. That suggests four additional rate cuts to come in 2025. Officials ...
The Fed’s dot plot is a chart updated quarterly that records each Fed official’s projection for the central bank’s key short-term interest rate, the federal funds rate. The dots reflect what ...
If Fed officials indeed cut by a quarter point this month, a fed funds rate with a target range of 4-4.25 percent by the end of the year would require two half-point cuts. Another forecast ...
Next month, the Fed itself will release updated forecasts for interest rates in the year ahead, the so-called dot plot. As of September, the Fed expected to raise interest rates another 0.25% in ...
The SEP also points to a federal funds rate between 3.13% and 3.62% by the end of 2025, implying another 125 basis points worth of cuts based on the low end of that range.
Investors are betting a final 2024 rate cut is a sure thing from the Federal Reserve, but the bigger question is whether the central bank is ready to scale back what it expects to do in 2025.
When the Fed last issued its dot plot in September, the median forecast was for the fed funds rate to end 2025 in a range of 3.25% to 3.5%. Instead of the four rate cuts in 2024 projected back in ...