Search results
Results From The WOW.Com Content Network
2024 Presidential Election Predictions. Trust markets, not presidential polls. Live and accurate forecasts by the world's largest prediction market.
This page provides an overview of prediction markets relating to the 2024 presidential election. The PredictIt charts show the state of each market on PredictIt with data updated every 60 seconds, and the RealClearPolitics charts show prediction market averages updated daily.
The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: Tilt (<60%), Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (90%+). Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
Kalshi’s political prediction markets offer traders a unique opportunity to capitalize on key U.S. political events, from the 2024 presidential election to pivotal Senate and House races. These political event contracts allow traders to make informed predictions by analyzing voter sentiment, polling trends, and historical voting patterns.
Find out which US presidential candidate appears likelier to win the November 2024 election based on the latest economic indicators and stock-market trends.
In the lead-up to Election Day, the performance of the S&P 500 — the benchmark index synonymous with the stock market — has accurately predicted the winner of the U.S. presidential election 83% of the time, according to research conducted by LPL Financial Holdings, the largest financial advisory firm in the U.S.
On Friday morning, Kalshi launched a market allowing users to predict the winner of next month's presidential election. At this early point, market participants are evenly split between Harris and Trump. Click the image for current pricing.
Any presidential election outcome short of decisive threatens to cast a long shadow of risk and uncertainty on financial markets until the result of the 2024 U.S. election is clear.
This is an electoral map based on the Kalshi prediction market odds for the 2024 presidential election. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for Harris or Trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: Toss-up (<60%), Leans (60%+), Likely (80%+), Safe (95%+).
Our prediction model shows the chances Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the contest to be America's next president.