Search results
Results From The WOW.Com Content Network
Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions is a 2008 book by Dan Ariely, in which he challenges readers' assumptions about making decisions based on rational thought. Ariely explains, "My goal, by the end of this book, is to help you fundamentally rethink what makes you and the people around you tick.
[12] [13] In April 2013, her article on uncertainty in decision-making was published in The New Yorker, [14] to which she continues to contribute. [15] [16] Konnikova at the IdeaFestival (2013) Konnikova's first book, Mastermind: How to Think Like Sherlock Holmes, was nominated for an Agatha Award and the Anthony Award for Best Nonfiction in 2013.
A hidden profile is a paradigm that occurs in the process of group decision making.It is found in a situation when part of some information is shared among group members (i.e. all members possess this information prior to discussion), whereas other pieces of information are unshared (i.e. information known to only one member prior to discussion). [1]
Heuristics (from Ancient Greek εὑρίσκω, heurískō, "I find, discover") is the process by which humans use mental shortcuts to arrive at decisions. Heuristics are simple strategies that humans, animals, [1] [2] [3] organizations, [4] and even machines [5] use to quickly form judgments, make decisions, and find solutions to complex problems.
Disagree and commit is a management principle that individuals are allowed to disagree while a decision is being made, but that once a decision has been made, everybody must commit to implementing the decision. Disagree and commit is a method of avoiding the consensus trap, in which the lack of consensus leads to inaction. [1] [2]
The Cynefin framework (/ k ə ˈ n ɛ v ɪ n / kuh-NEV-in) [1] is a conceptual framework used to aid decision-making. [2] Created in 1999 by Dave Snowden when he worked for IBM Global Services, it has been described as a "sense-making device". [3] [4] Cynefin is a Welsh word for 'habitat'. [5]
Johnson uses a case-study approach to explore the deliberate, "full-spectrum" analysis process used by successful decision-makers. [1] [2] Examples range widely, from the 2011 raid that killed Osama bin Laden to the destruction of Manhattan's Collect Pond, and even include the literary depiction of decision-making under uncertainty in George ...
Many researchers have attempted to identify the psychological process which creates the availability heuristic. Tversky and Kahneman argue that the number of examples recalled from memory is used to infer the frequency with which such instances occur. In an experiment to test this explanation, participants listened to lists of names containing ei