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  2. The Keys to the White House - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House

    The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States.It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.

  3. 'Why I was wrong': Allan Lichtman fails to predict correct ...

    www.aol.com/why-wrong-allan-lichtman-fails...

    Historian Allan Lichtman answers questions during an interview in Bethesda, Maryland, on Sept. 7, 2024. Lichtman created a model using 13 true/false criteria to predict whether the presidential ...

  4. Why historian who accurately predicts elections says ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/why-historian-accurately-predicts...

    Lichtman predicted last month that Vice President Kamala Harris would win. He based his prediction off thirteen keys, or “big picture true-false questions that tap into the strength and ...

  5. How an ‘October surprise’ could impact the 2024 election ...

    www.aol.com/october-surprise-could-impact-2024...

    Lichtman said he's never changed a prediction in 40 years. “One of the greatest myths of American politics is the October surprise,” the renowned historian told CNN’s Michael Smerconish ...

  6. Nostradamus pollster reveals latest 2024 prediction – and how ...

    www.aol.com/nostradamus-pollster-reveals-latest...

    Lichtman maintained his method and predictions are “totally non-partisan,” highlighting how he correctly predicted the “two most conservative presidents of our time,” referring to Ronald ...

  7. Historian who predicted 9 of the last 10 elections says 2024 ...

    www.aol.com/historian-predicted-9-last-10...

    Lichtman's first prediction was in 1982, when he said Ronald Reagan would win reelection. He developed the model with Vladimir Keilis-Borok, a Russian seismologist who worked at understanding not ...

  8. Historian's final prediction is for Kamala Harris to win 2024 ...

    www.aol.com/historians-final-prediction-kamala...

    "Nothing has changed to change my prediction that I made on Sept. 5," Lichtman said, "in defiance of the polls." More: Presidential election polls 2024: Latest surveys on Harris vs. Trump with 6 ...

  9. Historian who correctly predicted 9 of last 10 presidential ...

    www.aol.com/historian-correctly-predicted-9-last...

    Known for correctly predicting the results of the last nine out of 10 presidential elections, Lichtman said on his YouTube channel Tuesday night that his prediction has not changed, despite ...