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The weighted mean in this case is: ¯ = ¯ (=), (where the order of the matrix–vector product is not commutative), in terms of the covariance of the weighted mean: ¯ = (=), For example, consider the weighted mean of the point [1 0] with high variance in the second component and [0 1] with high variance in the first component.
It is a measure used to evaluate the performance of regression or forecasting models. It is a variant of MAPE in which the mean absolute percent errors is treated as a weighted arithmetic mean. Most commonly the absolute percent errors are weighted by the actuals (e.g. in case of sales forecasting, errors are weighted by sales volume). [3]
The expected value of a random variable is the weighted average of the possible values it might take on, with the weights being the respective probabilities. More generally, the expected value of a function of a random variable is the probability-weighted average of the values the function takes on for each possible value of the random variable.
Since the probabilities must satisfy p 1 + ⋅⋅⋅ + p k = 1, it is natural to interpret E[X] as a weighted average of the x i values, with weights given by their probabilities p i. In the special case that all possible outcomes are equiprobable (that is, p 1 = ⋅⋅⋅ = p k), the weighted average is given by the standard average. In the ...
It is a set of formulations for solving statistical problems involved in linear regression, including variants for ordinary (unweighted), weighted, and generalized (correlated) residuals. Numerical methods for linear least squares include inverting the matrix of the normal equations and orthogonal decomposition methods.
A weighted average, or weighted mean, is an average in which some data points count more heavily than others in that they are given more weight in the calculation. [6] For example, the arithmetic mean of 3 {\displaystyle 3} and 5 {\displaystyle 5} is 3 + 5 2 = 4 {\displaystyle {\frac {3+5}{2}}=4} , or equivalently 3 ⋅ 1 2 + 5 ⋅ 1 2 = 4 ...
One supposed problem with SMAPE is that it is not symmetric since over- and under-forecasts are not treated equally. The following example illustrates this by applying the second SMAPE formula: Over-forecasting: A t = 100 and F t = 110 give SMAPE = 4.76%; Under-forecasting: A t = 100 and F t = 90 give SMAPE = 5.26%.
Kernel average smoother example. The idea of the kernel average smoother is the following. For each data point X 0, choose a constant distance size λ (kernel radius, or window width for p = 1 dimension), and compute a weighted average for all data points that are closer than to X 0 (the closer to X 0 points get higher weights).