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A risk premium is a measure of excess return that is required by an individual to compensate being subjected to an increased level of risk. [1] It is used widely in finance and economics, the general definition being the expected risky return less the risk-free return, as demonstrated by the formula below. [2]
This definition comes from Willett's "Economic Theory of Risk and Insurance" (1901). [13] This links "risk" to "uncertainty", which is a broader term than chance or probability. "Measurable uncertainty". This definition comes from Knight's "Risk, Uncertainty and Profit" (1921). [14] It allows "risk" to be used equally for positive and negative ...
The framing effect is a cognitive bias in which people decide between options based on whether the options are presented with positive or negative connotations. [1] Individuals have a tendency to make risk-avoidant choices when options are positively framed, while selecting more loss-avoidant options when presented with a negative frame.
Decision sciences such as psychology and economics usually define risk as the uncertainty about several possible outcomes when the probability of each is known. [13] When the probabilities are unknown, uncertainty takes the form of ambiguity. [14]
Normally a reduction in the probability of winning a reward (e.g., a reduction from 80% to 20% in the chance of winning a reward) creates a psychological effect such as displeasure to individuals, which leads to the perception of loss from the original probability thus favoring a risk-averse decision.
Most theoretical analyses of risky choices depict each option as a gamble that can yield various outcomes with different probabilities. [2] Widely accepted risk-aversion theories, including Expected Utility Theory (EUT) and Prospect Theory (PT), arrive at risk aversion only indirectly, as a side effect of how outcomes are valued or how probabilities are judged. [3]
The management of behavioral risk encompass the study of organization and individual behavior from two primary roots: risk management and organizational behavior.With regard to its risk management roots, this type of management analyzes the effect of practices, cultures and behaviors as well as their associated risk of negative outcomes within an individual and/or an organization ().
Positive economics as a science concerns the investigation of economic behavior. [4] It deals with empirical facts as well as cause-and-effect relationships. It emphasizes that economic theories must be consistent with existing observations and produce precise, verifiable predictions about the phenomena under investigation.