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  2. Expected shortfall - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_shortfall

    Expected shortfall is considered a more useful risk measure than VaR because it is a coherent spectral measure of financial portfolio risk. It is calculated for a given quantile -level q {\displaystyle q} and is defined to be the mean loss of portfolio value given that a loss is occurring at or below the q {\displaystyle q} -quantile.

  3. Tail value at risk - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tail_value_at_risk

    Under some formulations, it is only equivalent to expected shortfall when the underlying distribution function is continuous at ⁡ (), the value at risk of level . [2] Under some other settings, TVaR is the conditional expectation of loss above a given value, whereas the expected shortfall is the product of this value with the probability of ...

  4. Coherent risk measure - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coherent_risk_measure

    The average value at risk (sometimes called expected shortfall or conditional value-at-risk or ) is a coherent risk measure, even though it is derived from Value at Risk which is not. The domain can be extended for more general Orlitz Hearts from the more typical Lp spaces .

  5. Value at risk - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Value_at_risk

    However, it can be bounded by coherent risk measures like Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) or entropic value at risk (EVaR). CVaR is defined by average of VaR values for confidence levels between 0 and α. However VaR, unlike CVaR, has the property of being a robust statistic. A related class of risk measures is the 'Range Value at Risk' (RVaR ...

  6. Conditional expectation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_expectation

    In probability theory, the conditional expectation, conditional expected value, or conditional mean of a random variable is its expected value evaluated with respect to the conditional probability distribution. If the random variable can take on only a finite number of values, the "conditions" are that the variable can only take on a subset of ...

  7. RiskMetrics - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RiskMetrics

    Since there are three risk measures covered by RiskMetrics, there are three incremental risk measures: Incremental VaR (IVaR), Incremental Expected Shortfall (IES), and Incremental Standard Deviation (ISD). Incremental statistics also have applications to portfolio optimization.

  8. VAR officials who made Liverpool error took charge of UAE ...

    www.aol.com/news/var-officials-made-liverpool...

    VAR England and assistant Cook made a “significant human error” when they failed to overturn Luis Diaz’s wrongly disallowed goal in the first half of Tottenham’s 2-1 win.

  9. Conditional variance - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_variance

    The expected value can be thought of as a reasonable prediction of the outcomes of the random experiment (in particular, the expected value is the best constant prediction when predictions are assessed by expected squared prediction error). Thus, one interpretation of variance is that it gives the smallest possible expected squared prediction ...