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The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. According to NPR's analysis, the states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. [1]
For his general election projections for each state, in addition to relying on the available polls in a given state and "similar states", Silver estimated a "538 regression" using historical voting information along with demographic characteristics of the states to create an estimate that he treated as a separate poll (equivalent to the ...
The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...
Here are some recent polls taken in Arizona, along with the dates they were conducted, the sample size and the margin of error: Marist : Trump 50%, Harris 49% (Oct. 17-22; 1,193 likely voters ...
Seven states could flip the results of the 2024 presidential election. See the latest polling and past results from the pivotal states including Michigan and Arizona.
As the 2024 election approaches, here's what to know about ballot tracking, vote-by-mail deadlines, and finding your polling site in Tennessee.
Also, Rasmussen Reports began to use the FiveThirtyEight.com poll averages for its own tracking of the 2008 state-by-state races. [ 126 ] In 2009 through 2012, Silver appeared as a political analyst on MSNBC, [ 127 ] CNN [ 128 ] and Bloomberg Television , [ 129 ] [ 130 ] PBS , [ 131 ] NPR, [ 132 ] Democracy Now! , [ 133 ] The Charlie Rose Show ...
Split Ticket is an American political forecasting website that was founded in 2021. The website predicts elections for the United States presidential election by state, the United States Senate , the United States House of Representatives , and gubernatorial elections.