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The dates of these opinion polls range from the previous general election on 4 July 2024 to the present. The next general election must be held no later than 15 August 2029 under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022. The Act mandates that any Parliament automatically dissolves five years after it first met – unless it is ...
Across the 12 general elections from 1992 to 2024, the site correctly predicted the party to win the most seats in all but one (1992). They also correctly predicted the outcome, that is, the party winning a majority or a hung parliament, in six elections (majorities in 1997, 2001, 2005, 2015, 2017 (by a majority of only 3), 2019, 2024; hung parliament for 2010).
Reform UK placed third in the share of the vote in the 2024 election and had MPs elected to the Commons for the first time. [12] Farage and his party Reform UK have done well in opinion polls in expense of both Labour and the Conservatives. The Liberal Democrats made significant gains to reach their highest ever number of seats.
The 2022 Welsh local elections are contested under new boundaries. This is the first time Welsh councils can choose between the first-past-the-post system and a proportional single transferable vote (STV) system, but councils need to give advance notice of such a change.
Amongst majority nationalist constituencies, due to their strong performance in the 2022 Assembly election and the 2023 local elections, Sinn Féin look "likely to increase its number of seats at Westminster", with the possibility of gaining Social Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP) leader Colum Eastwood's seat of Foyle.
Reform UK: Green: Leader since 3 June 2024 1 October 2021: Leader's seat Clacton: Bristol Central and Waveney Valley: Last election 0 seats, 2.0% 1 seat, 3.0% Seats before 1 1 Seats won 5 4 Seat change 5 3 Popular vote 3,726,224 1,780,226 Percentage 15.3% 7.3% Swing 13.3% [b] 4.3%
1 point for timeliness; In theory, the Premonitions Bureau would be a repository for "mass premonitions" to detect patterns which might suggest a possible date, nature, or place of an upcoming disaster. [7] During its first year, the bureau collected 469 predictions. [7]
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