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Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings: "tossup": no advantage
Looking at 538’s forecast, the most likely tipping-point state across all scenarios for the 2024 election is Pennsylvania. In 18 out of 100 cases, the Keystone State provides the winning ...
Presidential elections were held in the United States on November 5, 2024. [a] The Republican Party's ticket—Donald Trump, who was the 45th president of the United States from 2017 to 2021, and JD Vance, the junior U.S. senator from Ohio—defeated the Democratic Party's ticket—Kamala Harris, the incumbent vice president, and Tim Walz, the governor of Minnesota.
Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race.
From 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast. The year 2024 was one for the history books, and 538's visual journalists and reporters were hard at work explaining the data behind the news with ...
Election Day is a month away and as the race heats up — all eyes are on the swing states, specifically - Pennsylvania. Most states consistently vote red or blue, such as 38 states that voted for ...
The 2024 United States state legislative elections were held on November 5, 2024, for 85 state legislative chambers in 44 states. Across the fifty states , approximately 65 percent of all upper house seats and 85 percent of all lower house seats were up for election.
The storms on Election Day will follow wet weather in several states in the central U.S. peaking Monday evening, including Oklahoma, Missouri and Iowa, forecasters said. Election Day rain in ...