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  2. Autoregressive model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoregressive_model

    Autoregressive model. In statistics, econometrics, and signal processing, an autoregressive (AR) model is a representation of a type of random process; as such, it can be used to describe certain time-varying processes in nature, economics, behavior, etc. The autoregressive model specifies that the output variable depends linearly on its own ...

  3. Autoregressive moving-average model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoregressive_moving...

    In the statistical analysis of time series, autoregressive–moving-average (ARMA) models provide a parsimonious description of a (weakly) stationary stochastic process in terms of two polynomials, one for the autoregression (AR) and the second for the moving average (MA). The general ARMA model was described in the 1951 thesis of Peter Whittle ...

  4. Large language model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Large_language_model

    A model may be pre-trained either to predict how the segment continues, or what is missing in the segment, given a segment from its training dataset. [45] It can be either autoregressive (i.e. predicting how the segment continues, the way GPTs do it): for example given a segment "I like to eat", the model predicts "ice cream", or "sushi".

  5. Box–Jenkins method - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Box–Jenkins_method

    Box–Jenkins method. In time series analysis, the Box–Jenkins method, [1] named after the statisticians George Box and Gwilym Jenkins, applies autoregressive moving average (ARMA) or autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models to find the best fit of a time-series model to past values of a time series.

  6. Vector autoregression - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vector_autoregression

    Vector autoregression (VAR) is a statistical model used to capture the relationship between multiple quantities as they change over time. VAR is a type of stochastic process model. VAR models generalize the single-variable (univariate) autoregressive model by allowing for multivariate time series.

  7. Akaike information criterion - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Akaike_information_criterion

    As another example, consider a first-order autoregressive model, defined by x i = c + φx i−1 + ε i, with the ε i being i.i.d. Gaussian (with zero mean). For this model, there are three parameters: c, φ, and the variance of the ε i. More generally, a pth-order autoregressive model has p + 2 parameters.

  8. Llama (language model) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Llama_(language_model)

    Contents. Llama (language model) Not to be confused with LaMDA. Llama (Large Language Model Meta AI, formerly stylized as LLaMA) is a family of autoregressive large language models (LLMs) released by Meta AI starting in February 2023. [ 2 ][ 3 ] The latest version is Llama 3.2, released in September 2024. [ 4 ]

  9. Autoregressive integrated moving average - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoregressive_integrated...

    In time series analysis as used in statistics and econometrics, an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model is a generalization of an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model. These models are fitted to time series data in order to better understand the data or to predict future series points.