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  2. Normal backwardation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normal_backwardation

    The resulting futures or forward curve would typically be downward sloping (i.e. "inverted"), since contracts for further dates would typically trade at even lower prices. [2] In practice, the expected future spot price is unknown, and the term "backwardation" may refer to "positive basis", which occurs when the current spot price exceeds the ...

  3. Forward curve - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forward_curve

    The forward curve is a function graph in finance that defines the prices at which a contract for future delivery or payment can be concluded today. For example, a futures contract forward curve is prices being plotted as a function of the amount of time between now and the expiry date of the futures contract (with the spot price being the price at time zero).

  4. Inverted yield curve - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_yield_curve

    An inverted yield curve is an unusual phenomenon; bonds with shorter maturities generally provide lower yields than longer term bonds. [2] [3] To determine whether the yield curve is inverted, it is a common practice to compare the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond to either a 2-year Treasury note or a 3-month Treasury bill. If the 10 ...

  5. Explainer-U.S. yield curve inverts again: What is it ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/news/explainer-u-yield-curve-inverts...

    Here is a quick primer on what a steep, flat or inverted yield curve means and how it has predicted recession, and what it might be signaling now. The $23 trillion https://fred.stlouisfed.org ...

  6. The tail wags the dog: Top recession indicator now slows the ...

    www.aol.com/finance/tail-wags-dog-top-recession...

    The inverted yield curve—a recession indicator with a decades-long track record of accuracy—has evolved beyond serving as a warning of a future downturn and now sways the economy, its creator ...

  7. EXPLAINER-Why an inverted yield curve may not be all ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/news/explainer-why-inverted-yield...

    The U.S. Treasury yield curve, widely watched as a barometer of the economy's health, briefly "inverted" on Tuesday in a warning sign bond investors see a recession on the horizon. While investors ...

  8. Yield curve - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yield_curve

    The British pound yield curve on February 9, 2005. This curve is unusual (inverted) in that long-term rates are lower than short-term ones. Yield curves are usually upward sloping asymptotically: the longer the maturity, the higher the yield, with diminishing marginal increases (that is, as one moves to the right, the curve flattens out).

  9. Explainer-Several parts of the U.S. yield curve are inverted ...

    www.aol.com/news/explainer-several-parts-u-yield...

    As the market widely anticipates the U.S. Federal Reserve to hike interest rates by another 75 basis points this week, several parts of the U.S. Treasury yield curve point to an upcoming recession.