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National Response Scenario Number One is the United States federal government's planned response to a small scale nuclear attack. [1] It is one of the National Response Scenarios developed by the United States Department of Homeland Security , considered the most likely of fifteen emergency scenarios to impact the United States .
Scenario planning is as much art as science, and prone to a variety of traps (both in process and content) as enumerated by Paul J. H. Schoemaker. [14] More recently scenario planning has been discussed as a tool to improve the strategic agility, by cognitively preparing not only multiple scenarios but also multiple consistent strategies. [10]
Strategic management is not static in nature; the models can include a feedback loop to monitor execution and to inform the next round of planning. [7] [8] [9] Michael Porter identifies three principles underlying strategy: [10] creating a "unique and valuable [market] position" making trade-offs by choosing "what not to do"
Scenario planning, which was originally used in the military and recently used by large corporations to analyze future scenarios. Porter five forces analysis , which addresses industry attractiveness and rivalry through the bargaining power of buyers and suppliers and the threat of substitute products and new market entrants;
Federal agencies with no existing planning processes are required to adopt the IPS. The IPS does not supersede any existing state, local, and tribal planning processes. However, it is the standard planning system that the Federal Government will use for scenario-based planning. The IPS is compatible with many existing planning systems.
Various individuals were invited to watch, including Mayor Rudolph Giuliani, the police and fire commissioners, and representatives of the FBI and the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). [14] Pier 92 was set up as a model distribution station where the "victims" of the mock attack who needed to receive antibiotics would be treated. [ 13 ]
Crisis-management teams can rehearse a crisis plan by developing a simulated scenario to use as a drill. The plan should clearly stipulate that the only people to speak to publicly about the crisis are the designated persons, such as the company spokesperson or crisis team members.
Noncombatant evacuation operations are a contingency which an FRG could publicize and plan for, should the need arise. [84]: p.11 In 2021, a new Exceptional Family Member Program (EFMP) is being tested by 300 families who are undergoing a permanent change of station (PCS). [182]