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Prediction markets currently show Trump is more likely to win the 2024 presidential election. ... But that gap has closed to 50% support for Harris to 48% for Trump.
Harris beating Trump would mean that the former president's steep tariffs won't be implemented and cause inflation to mount an ugly comeback. Republicans controlling the Senate and/or the House ...
Polymarket showed Trump's chances had shot up to 98%, and IBKR Forecast Trader gave him 97% odds. Trump’s odds on prediction markets surge near 100% as election results tilt his way Skip to main ...
Less than a week ago, Donald Trump looked like a safe bet on prediction markets, but not anymore. ... when the poll showed Trump with a 4-point lead over Harris, and could signal growing support ...
Markets react to Harris taking center stage. Perhaps unsurprisingly, the largest prediction swings relate to vice president Kamala Harris, now the Democratic nominee frontrunner.
The stock market performed well during his four years in office, with the S&P 500 soaring 70%. Some investors could base their expectations of a second Trump term on what they saw in his first term.
Online prediction market PredictIt's 2024 presidential general election market showed Harris' odds at improving to 56% from 52% immediately before the debate, while Trump's odds slipped to 48% ...
Of course, prediction markets are a fickle beast. While Trump has less of a lead than he once did, he still stands ahead of Harris as of Wednesday afternoon at 50%, compared to the vice president ...