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The next general election must be held no later than 15 August 2029 under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022. The Act mandates that any Parliament automatically dissolves five years after it first met – unless it is dissolved earlier at the request of the prime minister – and polling day occurs no more than 25 working days ...
The rate of inflation was predicted to be 9.1% in 2022 and 7.4% in 2023. Unemployment was expected to rise from 3.6% to 4.9% by 2024. [18] The OBR also forecast that disposable income would fall by 7.1% over the next two years, taking it to its lowest level since records began in 1956–57, and reducing incomes to 2013 levels. [21]
Reform UK placed third in the share of the vote in the 2024 election and had MPs elected to the Commons for the first time. [12] Farage and his party Reform UK have done well in opinion polls in expense of both Labour and the Conservatives. The Liberal Democrats made significant gains to reach their highest ever number of seats.
"Green" in these tables refers to combined totals for the green parties in the United Kingdom, namely the Green Party of England and Wales, the Scottish Greens, and, for polls of the entire UK, the Green Party Northern Ireland. The three parties share a commitment to environmental policies, but are independent of one another, with each ...
Across the 12 general elections from 1992 to 2024, the site correctly predicted the party to win the most seats in all but one (1992). They also correctly predicted the outcome, that is, the party winning a majority or a hung parliament, in six elections (majorities in 1997, 2001, 2005, 2015, 2017 (by a majority of only 3), 2019, 2024; hung parliament for 2010).
1 point for timeliness; In theory, the Premonitions Bureau would be a repository for "mass premonitions" to detect patterns which might suggest a possible date, nature, or place of an upcoming disaster. [7] During its first year, the bureau collected 469 predictions. [7]
1 November 2021 – 13 April 2022: Somalia, House of the People [91] 24–29 January: Italy, President [92] 26 January: Nepal, National Assembly; 5 February: Algeria, Council of the Nation [93] 13 February: Germany, President [94] 3 March: Armenia, President [95] 10 March: Hungary, President [96] 8 May: Hong Kong, Chief Executive [97]
Amongst majority nationalist constituencies, due to their strong performance in the 2022 Assembly election and the 2023 local elections, Sinn Féin look "likely to increase its number of seats at Westminster", with the possibility of gaining Social Democratic and Labour Party (SDLP) leader Colum Eastwood's seat of Foyle.