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The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee.
Most election predictors for the 2020 United States presidential election used: Tossup: No advantage; Tilt: Advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean" Lean: Slight advantage; Likely: Significant, but surmountable, advantage (highest rating given by CBS News and NPR) Safe or solid: Near-certain chance of victory
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Democratic Donald Trump Republican Other/ Undecided [a] Margin 270 to Win [147] October 17–27, 2020 November 3, 2020 61.7%: 32.3% 6.0% Biden +29.4: Real Clear Politics [148] September 26 – October 21, 2020 October 27, 2020 60.7%: 31.0% 8.3% Biden +29.7: FiveThirtyEight ...
Most registered voters think President Trump will outperform President Biden in Thursday’s presidential debate, according to a new poll from The New York Times/Siena College. The poll, released ...
In 2020, the GOP candidate led by 12 percentage points, but now leads by 9. However, she has seen a slight decline in support from Black and Latino voters compared to Biden in 2020.
Biden was described as caring, inspiring, and bold by those who CBS News polled after the president's speech to a joint session of Congress. CBS News poll: Most viewers approve of Biden's speech ...
The PollyVote was created in March 2004 by marketing and forecasting expert J. Scott Armstrong and political science professors Alfred Cuzán and Randall Jones. [3] The goal at that time was to apply the combination principle in forecasting to predict President Bush's share of the two-party popular vote (omitting minor candidates) in the 2004 presidential election.
During the debate, the odds that Biden would drop out spiked from 20% to 34%. They shot up to 70% two weeks before Democrats urged him to step aside. During the debate, the odds that Biden would ...