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The 2015 Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3, or UCERF3, is the latest official earthquake rupture forecast (ERF) for the state of California, superseding UCERF2. It provides authoritative estimates of the likelihood and severity of potentially damaging earthquake ruptures in the long- and near-term.
The United States Geological Survey says there have been at least 40 other earthquakes of a magnitude 6.0 or larger in the region during the last 100 years. 7.0 California Shake Intensity
And it's a reminder of the seismic threats that are too often ignored in Southern California. Monday’s earthquake, centered about 1,100 feet southwest of Huntington Drive and Eastern Avenue ...
The probability of a serious earthquake on various faults has been estimated in the 2008 Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast. According to the United States Geological Survey, Southern California experiences nearly 10,000 earthquakes every year. [3] Details on specific faults can be found in the USGS Quaternary Fault and Fold Database.
A multi-year study published in 2018 suggests a connection between the Elsinore fault and other fault lines farther south, in Mexico: "...observations of the Yuha Desert and Salton Trough suggest that the 2010 M7.2 El Mayor ‐ Cucapah earthquake rupture, the Laguna Salada fault in Baja California, Mexico, and the Elsinore fault in California ...
Having half a dozen earthquakes with a magnitude 2.5 or greater strike in a single week is not a common occurrence in Southern California.
By this time, scientists were well aware of the threat, but seismology was still in its infancy. Following destructive earthquakes in the late 19th and early 20th centuries, real estate developers, press, and boosters minimized and downplayed the risk of earthquakes out of fear that the ongoing economic boom would be negatively affected. [3] [4]
Large earthquakes also occurred near the junction in northern California in previous Decembers, according to the geological survey. There were two, a 6.1 and 6.0, near Petrolia in 2021 and a 6.4 ...