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The national polling average released by Silver on Sunday morning showed Harris over Trump 48.5% to 47.6%. But he cautioned his model doesn’t care about the national polls as much at this stage.
Polling guru Nate Silver has revealed his final prediction model for the 2024 presidential election – and has concluded the race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is “literally closer ...
Nate Silver underscored that the 2024 race remains a tight election. PBS. ... The latest RealClearPolitics aggregate has Harris with a head-to-head lead of 1.1% over Trump in the national popular ...
Pollster Nate Silver said that a 50/50 forecast for the presidential election means that people should start planning for the possibility that former President Trump takes back the White House in ...
Silver’s model predicts that Harris has a 58.9% chance at winning the national popular vote – which has no bearing on the winner of the race – but that Trump will rack up 274 Electoral ...
Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball and elections.He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News until May 2023. [2]
Pollster Nate Silver said in his latest election forecast that the White House race between former President Trump and Vice President Harris is likely to remain a toss-up until Election Day, now ...
The polls and odds are constantly fluctuating, but you can find the latest polls we could find for each candidate as of 12:05 p.m. on Nov. 4, 2024: ABC News project 538 : This poll currently shows ...