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How accurate were those polls? According to CNN Senior Data Reporter Harry Enten , the historical polling average since 1972 has been 3.4 percent off of how the election turned out.
Electoral-vote.com is a website created by computer scientist Andrew S. Tanenbaum.The site's primary content was originally poll analysis to project election outcomes. Since the 2016 elections, the site also has featured daily commentary on political news stories.
The 2020 United States Senate elections were held on November 3, 2020, [1] with the 33 class 2 seats of the Senate contested in regular elections. [2] Of these, 21 were held by Republicans, and 12 by Democrats. The winners were elected to 6-year terms from January 3, 2021, to January 3, 2027. [3]
Election results are from the Associated Press (AP). Race leads are based on raw vote counts, may change as more votes are counted, and are not predictive of the eventual winner. % estimated votes counted is based on an Associated Press projection of how many total votes will be cast.
Assessing the accuracy of polls is much more complicated than it looks.
Contests for the six non-voting congressional delegates from the District of Columbia and the permanently inhabited U.S. territories were also held during the 2020 elections. Regularly-scheduled elections were held in 86 of the 99 state legislative chambers, and 11 states held their gubernatorial elections. Only one state governorship and two ...
Pollsters likely will cheer this year’s results, which are not remotely as shocking as those of 2020 when, overall, the polls turned in their worst performance in 40 years.
There are 17 days remaining from Election Day. As the date is closer to arriving, more polls will come out. However, the reliability of the polls has been questioned recently.