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Assessing the accuracy of polls is much more complicated than it looks.
How accurate were those polls? According to CNN Senior Data Reporter Harry Enten , the historical polling average since 1972 has been 3.4 percent off of how the election turned out.
Several noted internal polls suggested Republican-leaning, undecided voters were particularly turned off by the president’s debate performance and his conduct since being diagnosed with the ...
2020 United States Senate elections ← 2018 November 3, 2020 January 5, 2021 (Georgia runoffs) 2022 → 35 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate 51 [a] seats needed for a majority Majority party Minority party Leader Chuck Schumer Mitch McConnell Party Democratic Republican Leader since January 3, 2017 January 3, 2007 Leader's seat New York Kentucky Seats before 45 53 Seats after 48 ...
It is informed by turnout in recent elections, details on votes cast in advance and – after polls close – early returns. The estimate may fluctuate as election officials report additional results and AP learns more about how many voters have cast a ballot.
Electoral-vote.com is a website created by computer scientist Andrew S. Tanenbaum.The site's primary content was originally poll analysis to project election outcomes. Since the 2016 elections, the site also has featured daily commentary on political news stories.
Contests for the six non-voting congressional delegates from the District of Columbia and the permanently inhabited U.S. territories were also held during the 2020 elections. Regularly-scheduled elections were held in 86 of the 99 state legislative chambers, and 11 states held their gubernatorial elections. Only one state governorship and two ...
Going into this cycle, pollsters were well aware of the challenge facing them after the last two elections. Trump’s political career had been marked by outperforming polling and even more so ...