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When we find fewer than five polls in 2016 or fewer than two polls since July 2016, we use Cook Political Report ratings to estimate where the race stands. We run the simulations out to Election Day, Nov. 8. Since we don’t have polling data for the future, the model assumes voter intentions generally continue along their current trajectories.
Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016. He lost the popular vote but won the electoral college . [ 1 ] [ 2 ] Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Hillary Clinton , but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts.
2016 United States presidential election ← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 → 538 members of the Electoral College 270 electoral votes needed to win Opinion polls Turnout 60.1% (1.5 pp) Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Party Republican Democratic Home state New York New York Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine Electoral vote 304 [a] 227 [a] States carried 30 + ME-02 20 + DC Popular vote ...
2016 was a year filled with twists, turns, 3 a.m. tweets and incorrect predictions -- mostly incorrectly betting against Donald Trump. The worst 2016 election predictions of the year Skip to main ...
However, on Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction betting market, Harris and Trump are tied, with each having a 49% chance of being elected the next president of the United States.
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The count of the Electoral College ballots during a joint session of the 115th United States Congress, pursuant to the Electoral Count Act, on January 6, 2017, was held as the final step to confirm then President-elect Donald Trump's victory in the 2016 presidential election over former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.
The 2016 Senate consists of 54 Republicans and 46 Democrats. (The two independent senators caucus with Democrats.) Voters usually re-elect their incumbent senators, but some seats could flip to the other party. If four Republican Senate seats flip to Democrats and there are no other changes, the 2017 Senate will be split 50-50. States Likely To ...