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Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
The presidential historian has predicted that Vice President Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election over former President Donald Trump. ... President betting odds from Smarkets, 538 ...
Looking at 538’s forecast, the most likely tipping-point state across all scenarios for the 2024 election is Pennsylvania. In 18 out of 100 cases, the Keystone State provides the winning ...
[538 70] About two weeks later, ... 538 was the only professional election forecaster to give Biden majority odds of winning the 2024 election. [93]
ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 48.5% over Trump 46.1% compared to last week Harris was 48% over Trump 47.3% compared to Harris 48.5% over Trump 45.8% two weeks ago ...
These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. ... near-certain chance of ... 538 [147] through November 4 ...
Election Day is just eight days away and the swing states have swayed, according to the polls and odds. While the last two months ... the odds? ABC News project 538 ... win against No. 5 LSU to ...
In 2009, the Liberal Party received 3.9 percent of the votes, below the 4 percent threshold for leveling seats, although still winning two seats. Hence, while right-wing opposition parties won more votes between them than the parties in the governing coalition, the narrow failure of the Liberal Party to cross the threshold kept the governing ...