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  2. How prediction markets saw something the polls and pundits didn’t

    www.aol.com/prediction-markets-saw-something...

    The emergence of that so-called Trump whale sparked intense scrutiny of Polymarket over the past several weeks, because it sure looked possible that an anonymous deep-pocketed investor was trying ...

  3. Harris-Trump polls tighten, but PredictIt and Polymarket tell ...

    www.aol.com/finance/harris-trump-polls-tighten...

    While polls tell you about how people responded in the recent past, the odds on sites like PredictIt and Polymarket show real-time sentiment and are better for mapping the future, according to Miller.

  4. Trump’s chances dip slightly on Polymarket, Cooper favored as ...

    www.aol.com/finance/trump-chances-dip-slightly...

    Her odds of becoming the next president have jumped from 18% to 29% on Polymarket, and up from 27% to 40% on PredictIt. FiveThirtyEight’s approval poll show a 50% disapproval rating for the vice ...

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  6. Traders on Polymarket are betting on Harris’s odds of beating ...

    www.aol.com/finance/traders-polymarket-betting...

    PredictIt, a site that sprang out of a project from Victoria University of Wellington, has been around for a decade. But Polymarket began generating buzz this summer after a string of correct ...

  7. Polymarket says one French whale is responsible for the lion ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-power-players...

    Polymarket said it made contact with the trader and found no evidence of market manipulation, saying the trader was “taking a directional position based on personal views of the election.”

  8. Polymarket's pro-Trump election predictions aren't so ...

    www.aol.com/polymarkets-pro-trump-election...

    The betting site Polymarket has emerged as a hot topic in the 2024 presidential race. Trump's odds of winning are at 66% there based on bets. National polls generally show the race tied.

  9. Don’t Trust the Political Prediction Markets

    www.aol.com/don-t-bet-scam-political-133125954.html

    2. Political prediction markets are rife with unchecked foreign manipulation – and it is too easy to manipulate these markets. The only prediction market with significant scale – Polymarket ...