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There are a limited number of possible states, and so baseball win probability tools usually have enough data to make an informed estimate. American football win probability estimates often include whether a team is home or away, the down and distance, score difference, time remaining, and field position. American football has many more ...
Log5 is a method of estimating the probability that team A will win a game against team B, based on the odds ratio between the estimated winning probability of Team A and Team B against a larger set of teams.
In win shares, a player with 0 win shares has contributed nothing to his team; in win probability added, a player with 0 win probability added points is average. Also, win shares would give the same amount of credit to a player if he hit a lead-off solo home run as if he hit a walk-off solo home run; WPA, however, would give vastly more credit ...
This article will be updated throughout the day. MLB postseason: Wednesday wild card schedule, scores. Game 2: Tigers 5, Astros 2 - FINAL | ABC/ESPN (Tigers win series 2-0) Game 2: Royals 2 ...
The Braves had to win a game Monday in Atlanta to get into the wild-card series, and now play Game 1 on the West Coast just 24 hours after an emotional doubleheader against the Mets. Mets beat ...
A five-run fifth broke the game open for the Mets, who are improbably one win away from the NLDS. MLB playoffs 2024: With momentum and a bit of magic, Mets roll to wild-card Game 1 win vs. Brewers ...
Pythagorean expectation is a sports analytics formula devised by Bill James to estimate the percentage of games a baseball team "should" have won based on the number of runs they scored and allowed. Comparing a team's actual and Pythagorean winning percentage can be used to make predictions and evaluate which teams are over-performing and under ...
Game score is a metric devised by Bill James as a rough overall gauge of a starting pitcher's performance in a baseball game. It is designed such that scores tend to range from 0–100, with an average performance being around 50 points.