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A global catastrophic risk or a doomsday scenario is a hypothetical event that could damage human well-being on a global scale, [2] even endangering or destroying modern civilization. [3] An event that could cause human extinction or permanently and drastically curtail humanity's existence or potential is known as an "existential risk". [4]
Scenarios in which a global catastrophic risk creates harm have been widely discussed. Some sources of catastrophic risk are anthropogenic (caused by humans), such as global warming, [1] environmental degradation, and nuclear war. [2] Others are non-anthropogenic or natural, such as meteor impacts or supervolcanoes.
"Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System". European Commission and United Nations website initiative. "What the Development Programme of the United Nations (UN) does to reduce the human risks linked to Natural Disasters". United Nations Development Programme (UNDP). Archived from the original on 2015-01-13.
Global multihazard mortality risks and distribution (2005) for cyclones, drought, earthquakes, floods, landslides, and volcanoes (excluding heat waves, snowstorms, and other deadly hazards). A natural disaster is a sudden event that causes widespread destruction, major collateral damage, or loss of life, brought about by forces other than the ...
A plausible and significant contributor to global catastrophic risk; the potential for climate change to be a global catastrophic threat can be referred to as "catastrophic climate change". Global decimation risk: The probability of a loss of 10% (or more) of global population and the severe disruption of global critical systems (such as food ...
The historical precursors of existential risks studies can be found in early 19th-century thought around human extinction and the more recent models and theories of global catastrophic risk that date mainly to the Cold War period, especially the thinking around a hypothetical nuclear holocaust. [7]
Climate endgame is a term used to refer to the risk of societal collapse and potential human extinction due to the effects of climate change. [3] The usage of the term seeks to improve risk management by putting a higher priority on worst-case scenarios, to "galvanise action, improve resilience, and inform policy".
Global catastrophic risk – Hypothetical global-scale disaster risk; Global Challenges Foundation – Swedish non-profit organization; Global change – planetary-scale changes in the Earth system; Global governance – Movement towards political cooperation among transnational actors; Global health – Health of populations in a global context