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After all, he did the same thing following the 2020 election, which led to recounts and the Jan. 6, 2021, insurrection at the U.S. Capitol. That means having clearcut election results tomorrow ...
The 2024 election was filled with new and unprecedented developments in the history of American electoral politics: A sitting President was pushed out of the race by his own party.
In the weeks leading up to the 2024 presidential election, what appeared to be a small group of traders dumped millions of dollars into Polymarket, betting that Donald Trump would win.
This year, Polymarket has seen $1.75 billion worth of trading volume, according to data from The Block, with betting activity exploding on US election outcomes. In October alone, the betting ...
Prediction markets can be more accurate than polling when it comes to elections, a professor told Business Insider. There's over $606 million wagered on the 2024 election on Polymarket, favoring a ...
The success Polymarket has had predicting political outcomes is somewhat surprising considering that betting on elections is illegal in the U.S., and bettors in the U.S. are technically barred ...
Several foreign nations reportedly interfered in the 2024 United States elections, including China, Iran, and Russia. The efforts largely focused on propaganda and disinformation campaigns using inauthentic accounts on social media, stoking domestic divisions, and denigrating the United States and democracy more broadly. [161] [162] [163]
A Polymarket "whale" is betting heavily on Trump winning the presidential election. Four accounts on Polymarket have $46 million in open positions in favor of Trump.