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In statistics, a moving average (rolling average or running average or moving mean [1] or rolling mean) is a calculation to analyze data points by creating a series of averages of different selections of the full data set. Variations include: simple, cumulative, or weighted forms. Mathematically, a moving average is a type of convolution.
The moving ranges involved are serially correlated so runs or cycles can show up on the moving average chart that do not indicate real problems in the underlying process. [ 2 ] : 237 In some cases, it may be advisable to use the median of the moving range rather than its average, as when the calculated range data contains a few large values ...
While other control charts treat rational subgroups of samples individually, the EWMA chart tracks the exponentially-weighted moving average of all prior sample means. EWMA weights samples in geometrically decreasing order so that the most recent samples are weighted most highly while the most distant samples contribute very little.
As with the ¯ and s and individuals control charts, the ¯ chart is only valid if the within-sample variability is constant. [4] Thus, the R chart is examined before the x ¯ {\displaystyle {\bar {x}}} chart; if the R chart indicates the sample variability is in statistical control, then the x ¯ {\displaystyle {\bar {x}}} chart is examined to ...
P-chart; P–P plot; Parallel coordinates; Pareto chart; Pareto principle; Parity plot; Partial regression plot; Partial residual plot; Pictogram; Pie chart; William Playfair; Poincaré plot; Population pyramid; Price-Jones curve; Probability plot correlation coefficient plot; Process window index
Exponential smoothing or exponential moving average (EMA) is a rule of thumb technique for smoothing time series data using the exponential window function. Whereas in the simple moving average the past observations are weighted equally, exponential functions are used to assign exponentially decreasing weights over time. It is an easily learned ...
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ARMA is appropriate when a system is a function of a series of unobserved shocks (the MA or moving average part) as well as its own behavior. For example, stock prices may be shocked by fundamental information as well as exhibiting technical trending and mean-reversion effects due to market participants. [citation needed]