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However the 10-year vs 3-month portion did not invert until March 22, 2019 and it reverted to a positive slope by April 1, 2019 (i.e. only 8 days later). [25] [26] The month average of the 10-year vs 3-month (bond equivalent yield) difference reached zero basis points in May 2019. Both March and April 2019 had month-average spreads greater than ...
The Treasury yield curve is sending the market a stark warning about recession risks with the difference between 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields reaching the widest since 1981 on Tuesday.
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[2] [3] To determine whether the yield curve is inverted, it is a common practice to compare the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond to either a 2-year Treasury note or a 3-month Treasury bill. If the 10-year yield is less than the 2-year or 3-month yield, the curve is inverted. [4] [5] [6] [7]
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In the episode, a couple of weeks back, I mentioned that I looked at the average allocations for the target date funds offered by BlackRock, Fidelity, T Rowe Price and Vanguard. For the 2025 funds ...