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Allan Lichtman's prediction on whether Trump or Harris will win the 2024 presidential election based on his 13 keys for a successful election campaign.
The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction .
Historian and professor Allan Lichtman answers questions during an interview with AFP in Bethesda, Md., on Sept. 7, 2024. ... dubbed the "13 Keys to the White ... on October 14, 2024 and Vice ...
Historian and American University professor Allan Lichtman answers questions during an interview with AFP in Bethesda, Maryland, on Sept. 7, 2024. "I don't think I called any (keys) wrong ...
Historian Allan Lichtman answers questions during an interview in Bethesda, Maryland, on Sept. 7, 2024. Lichtman created a model using 13 true/false criteria to predict whether the presidential ...
Historian and American University professor Allan Lichtman answers questions during an interview with AFP in Bethesda, Maryland, on September 7, 2024. Lichtman created a model using 13 true/false ...
To call it a numbers game, eight of the keys are in favor of Harris, while three are in favor of Former President Donald Trump. “Foreign policy is tricky, and these keys could flip,” he said ...
In 2000, Lichtman said eight of the 13 keys could be good news for Democrats, though Al Gore ultimately lost the race to George W. Bush after a protracted fight that ended up at the Supreme Court.