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Law of the unconscious statistician: The expected value of a measurable function of , (), given that has a probability density function (), is given by the inner product of and : [34] [()] = (). This formula also holds in multidimensional case, when g {\displaystyle g} is a function of several random variables, and f {\displaystyle f} is ...
Under some formulations, it is only equivalent to expected shortfall when the underlying distribution function is continuous at (), the value at risk of level . [2] Under some other settings, TVaR is the conditional expectation of loss above a given value, whereas the expected shortfall is the product of this value with the probability of ...
The expected return (or expected gain) on a financial investment is the expected value of its return (of the profit on the investment). It is a measure of the center of the distribution of the random variable that is the return. [1] It is calculated by using the following formula: [] = = where
The expected value of X is (+ + + + +) / = / Therefore, the variance of X is ... A function VAR.S in Microsoft Excel gives the unbiased sample variance while VAR.P is ...
In probability theory, the conditional expectation, conditional expected value, or conditional mean of a random variable is its expected value evaluated with respect to the conditional probability distribution. If the random variable can take on only a finite number of values, the "conditions" are that the variable can only take on a subset of ...
The expected value of g(X) is then identified as (()) ′ = (), where the equality follows by another use of the change-of-variables formula for integration. This shows that the expected value of g ( X ) is encoded entirely by the function g and the density f of X .
The proposition in probability theory known as the law of total expectation, [1] the law of iterated expectations [2] (LIE), Adam's law, [3] the tower rule, [4] and the smoothing theorem, [5] among other names, states that if is a random variable whose expected value is defined, and is any random variable on the same probability space, then
Given a sample from a normal distribution, whose parameters are unknown, it is possible to give prediction intervals in the frequentist sense, i.e., an interval [a, b] based on statistics of the sample such that on repeated experiments, X n+1 falls in the interval the desired percentage of the time; one may call these "predictive confidence intervals".