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  2. Model rumors & reality: What we know, don't know about ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/model-rumors-reality-know-dont...

    The historical high season for Florida hurricane landfalls continues until late October, so like taking political mailers directly to the recycle bin without reading them, monitoring the Tropics ...

  3. Global Forecast System - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_Forecast_System

    An example of a forecast product from the GFS, in this case a 96-hour forecast of 850 mb geopotential height and temperature. The Global Forecast System (GFS) is a global numerical weather prediction system containing a global computer model and variational analysis run by the United States' National Weather Service (NWS).

  4. Tropical cyclone forecast model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/.../Tropical_cyclone_forecast_model

    The first dynamical hurricane track forecast model, the Sanders Barotropic Tropical Cyclone Track Prediction Model (SANBAR), [9] was introduced in 1970 and was used by the National Hurricane Center as part of its operational track guidance through 1989. It was based on a simplified set of atmospheric dynamical equations (the equivalent ...

  5. Weather Prediction Center - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weather_Prediction_Center

    The Weather Prediction Center (WPC), located in College Park, Maryland, is one of nine service centers under the umbrella of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), a part of the National Weather Service (NWS), which in turn is part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of the U.S. Government.

  6. The 2022 hurricane model power rankings: Who has the best ...

    www.aol.com/news/2022-hurricane-model-power...

    The GFS was the most skillful single track model for the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season at all lead times, and its ensembles are much improved relative to previous iterations.

  7. October hurricane forecast: Brace for the 'return of big ...

    www.aol.com/october-hurricane-forecast-brace...

    The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season entered its fifth month Tuesday, and experts are again taking stock of a deadly and puzzling season. The year started with dire predictions of a hyperactive ...

  8. What those hurricane spaghetti models all over social media ...

    www.aol.com/those-hurricane-spaghetti-models...

    This image shows the morning GEFS ensemble, which includes multiple runs of the American GFS computer model, for invest 98 on September 21, 2022. The black line in the center is the ensemble mean ...

  9. Storm tracker: Tropical Storm Helene forms, expected to make ...

    www.aol.com/storm-tracker-potential-tropical...

    Hurricane and storm surge watches have been issued for portions of the Florida Gulf Coast Tuesday as Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine strengthened into Tropical Storm Helene, according to the ...