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[1] [2] Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Hillary Clinton, but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts. Retrospective analyses differ as to why the polls and commentators interpreting them were unable to correctly forecast the result of the ...
This page lists nationwide public opinion polling among demographics that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election between prospective Democratic and Republican candidates.
In most states, all electors vote with the state’s popular opinion. If 51 percent of voters in California choose Hillary Clinton, all 55 of California’s electors will vote for Clinton — and none will vote for Donald Trump. (Historically, a few so-called faithless electors have voted against popular opinion. They never changed the outcome ...
2016 United States presidential election ← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 → 538 members of the Electoral College 270 electoral votes needed to win Opinion polls Turnout 60.1% (1.5 pp) Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Party Republican Democratic Home state New York New York Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine Electoral vote 304 [a] 227 [a] States carried 30 + ME-02 20 + DC Popular vote ...
Donald Trump trails Kamala Harris in most 2024 polls. But the margin now is smaller than he faced in his first two general elections in 2016 and 2020. ... Clinton won the popular vote over Trump ...
A review of the public opinion polls from his first two presidential campaigns, and the 2024 surveys, tells the tale. ... Eight years ago, Trump and Clinton were tied at 44.3 percent, each.
The same poll found that 24 percent of voters said they would either abstain from voting in the general election rather than vote for Trump or Clinton or vote for a third-party candidate.
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Kamala Harris Democratic Donald Trump Republican Others/ Undecided [a]Margin 270toWin [1]: through November 4, 2024