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The central question of whether Harris or former President Donald Trump would win the presidential election saw $3.2 billion Polymarket bets as of Election Day. The majority of bets went for Trump ...
While the odds of a Trump win have shrunk on some prediction markets, Polymarket shows a 58% chance as of Monday of the former president winning the election over Harris.. In late October ...
In the weeks leading up to the 2024 presidential election, what appeared to be a small group of traders dumped millions of dollars into Polymarket, betting that Donald Trump would win.
By Election Day, Polymarket users had wagered a whopping $3.2 billion on the outcome of the election, with a majority of bets on a win by former President Donald Trump.
Four Polymarket accounts that appear to be connected have bet $30 million that Trump will win the election, according to Arkham Intelligence.
Coplan’s site—which is a prediction market that invites users to bet money on a given outcome—foreshadowed major developments in the election. Those include Polymarket predicting President ...
Two Polymarket competitors continued to show Harris with better odds of winning, at about 51%; Polymarket also showed a slight edge for Harris throughout September. That day, the FiveThirtyEight simulation model found Harris had a 55% chance to win the election, while elections statistician Nate Silver said his model gave Harris 54.7% odds.
Polymarket volume exploded during the recent presidential election, with outlets from the Wall Street Journal to Fortune reporting the betting odds on its platform alongside more traditional ...