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Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race.
270 to Win average: Trump +1.5. Real Clear Polling average: Trump +1.1. Georgia (16 electoral votes) FiveThirtyEight average: Trump +1.8. 270 to Win average: Trump +1.2. Real Clear Polling average ...
270 to Win average: Trump +2. Real Clear Polling average: Trump +1.6. Georgia (16 electoral votes) FiveThirtyEight average: Trump +0.6. 270 to Win average: Trump +1.2. Real Clear Polling average ...
If Biden's three narrowest state victories—Wisconsin, Georgia, and Arizona, all of which he won by less than a percentage point—had gone to Trump, there would have been a tie of 269 electors for each candidate, [311] [312] causing a contingent election to be decided by the House of Representatives, where Trump had the advantage. (Even ...
The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee.
The poll also finds Trump narrowly ahead of Biden by 2 points among registered voters in a head-to-head matchup, 46% to 44% — down from Trump’s 5-point advantage in January, 47% to 42%.
The following graph depicts the difference between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in each swing state in the poll aggregators from March 2020 to the election, with the election results for comparison. Polls by state/district
Trump was viewed as having the better physical and mental fitness for the job by 48% of respondents, compared to 28% for Biden, the poll showed. The survey of 4,200 votes - 600 in each of the ...