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Looking at 538’s forecast, the most likely tipping-point state across all scenarios for the 2024 election is Pennsylvania. In 18 out of 100 cases, the Keystone State provides the winning ...
Voters line up to cast their ballots at Max K. Rodes Park Community Center in West Melbourne, Florida, on the last day of early voting in Brevard County on Nov. 2, 2024.
According to Kalshi, Trump's odds of winning were at 51% on Sunday with Harris at 49%. That's down sharply from Tuesday, when Trump was as high as 64.6% and Harris was as low as 35.4%.
Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race.
On July 13, 2024, Trump was shot and wounded in an assassination attempt while holding a campaign rally west of Butler, Pennsylvania. The former president was struck in the right ear while on stage and was surrounded by Secret Service agents until the shooter was killed by members of the Counter Assault Team .
The 2024 election cycle had been marked by widespread doxxing, swatting, and threats against several politicians and activists, with a particular series of incidents starting in December 2023. [155] [156] [157] On November 4, 2024, a white supremacist was arrested for plotting an attack on an electrical substation in Nashville, Tennessee. [158]
CORRECTION: An earlier version of this story misstated the chances of Harris winning the election in the latest forecast from Decision Deck HQ/The Hill. The correct number is 48 percent. Former ...
November 4, 2024 at 8:47 AM By Lisa Pauline Mattackal On the eve of the U.S. election, billions of crypto dollars are chasing bets on the two candidates on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.