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Trafalgar's sampling methods have resulted in consistent response rates of around 1.37-1.46% for recent Trafalgar Group polls. [6] Trafalgar Group creates its samples intending to account for a " social desirability bias " effect, the hypothesized tendency of some voters to calibrate their responses to polls towards what they believe the survey ...
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
Cahaly stated that Trafalgar's polling methodology was more accurate than other polls because it utilized methods to increase the weighting of "shy, pro-Trump" voters, which he argued were underrepresented in most polls. [2] Cahaly does not disclose Trafalgar's group's methods of polling or its process for ascertaining the volume of shy Trump ...
The final poll on the popular vote from the New York Times/Siena College that came out Friday, Oct. 25, shows Trump and Harris tied 48% to 48%. Harris challenges Trump to take cognitive test
The latest average of national polls, collated by FiveThirtyEight, shows Harris with a 2.6-point lead over Trump. On average, Harris has been marginally ahead of Trump in national polls for ...
Election 2024 live updates: Harris, Trump rally swing states with 2 days left; new polls. ... Presidential election polls 2024: Trump, Harris remain close in polls. Show comments.
This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election.The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
The poll, conducted Sept. 11 and 12, mirrors surveys from August that showed Trump leading Harris by just two points, but suggests 2% of her supporters may have switched camps despite his ...