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Now that the election is over, here's what people are betting on in prediction markets. Billions of dollars were bet on the presidential election outcome via prediction market platforms like ...
Miller is renowned for his accurate predictions during the 2020 election, and much of his methodology comes from examining prediction markets. “Political betting sites are the best at predicting ...
Prediction site founders and researchers have long argued that betting markets are more accurate than traditional polling. This week was the biggest demonstration to back up that claim.
The betting market's biggest tests might come after the election. Supporters of prediction markets say they're more accurate than traditional polls, citing their ability to quickly adapt to the ...
In the run-up to Election Day, Data scientist Thomas Miller introduced a first in handicapping presidential elections: A "ticker-tape" that presents the electoral vote (EV) count each candidate ...
Some prediction websites, sometimes classified as prediction markets, do not involve betting real money but rather add to or subtract from a predictor's reputation points based on the accuracy of a prediction. This incentive system may be better-suited than traditional prediction markets for niche or long-timeline questions.
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