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That's lower than the statistical bias of the polls in 2016 and 2020, which underestimated Trump by 3.2 and 4.1 points, respectively. ... "It is important in pre-election polling to emphasize the ...
It excluded a Rasmussen poll that had Trump up 3 points — so off by 1.3 points to the positive for Trump but still a little over 50% closer to the actual results than the Times average. RCP ...
Since election night, pollster J. Ann Selzer has examined the pre-election Iowa Poll’s methods and respondent sample for clues about why its results differed so widely from the actual vote.. The ...
The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
The Trafalgar Group is an opinion polling and survey company founded by Robert Cahaly and based in Atlanta, Georgia. It first publicly released polls in 2016. Trafalgar has been questioned for its methodology and for an apparent bias towards the Republican Party.
In the past few days, polls have ranged from a 4-point Harris lead to a 3-point lead for Trump. With such slim margins and changing numbers, what can we trust?
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A).