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Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings: "tossup": no advantage
That poll, along with Youngkin’s 2021 victory over former Democratic Gov. Terry McAuliffe, led the Trump campaign and Republicans to claim a tenuous battleground status in Virginia early in the ...
The two Southwestern battleground states only possess a total of 17 votes in the Electoral College, but this dynamic duo has outsized influence because of the tight battle for the White House and ...
Before the election, most news organizations considered Virginia a likely win for Harris. On election day, Harris won Virginia with 51.82% of the vote, carrying the state by a margin of 5.76%, similar to the 2016 results. This was the first presidential election in which both major party candidates received more than 2 million votes in Virginia.
Virginia is trapped in a political no-man's land as the 2024 presidential election enters the home stretch - with its status still very much uncertain as to whether it is anywhere close to being a ...
— Next month’s Virginia state legislative election will provide the most meaningful read yet on the 2024 political environment. Polls show deep dissatisfaction with President Joe Biden.
Not even 1 percentage point separates Kamala Harris (48%) and Donald Trump (47.3%) in head-to-head polling in battleground districts.
The 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election will be held on November 4, 2025. Incumbent Republican Governor Glenn Youngkin will be ineligible to run for re-election, as the Constitution of Virginia prohibits the state's governors from serving consecutive terms. Primary elections will take place on June 17, 2025.