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Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings: "tossup": no advantage
That poll, along with Youngkin’s 2021 victory over former Democratic Gov. Terry McAuliffe, led the Trump campaign and Republicans to claim a tenuous battleground status in Virginia early in the ...
— Next month’s Virginia state legislative election will provide the most meaningful read yet on the 2024 political environment. Polls show deep dissatisfaction with President Joe Biden.
Here’s what the latest polls say about the 2024 presidential election, ... Battleground states. Recent polls from the swing states by Bloomberg/Morning Consult have Harris ahead by +3 points on ...
Not even 1 percentage point separates Kamala Harris (48%) and Donald Trump (47.3%) in head-to-head polling in battleground districts.
The two Southwestern battleground states only possess a total of 17 votes in the Electoral College, but this dynamic duo has outsized influence because of the tight battle for the White House and ...
The latest swath of battleground surveys suggests Donald Trump will return to the White House — and swing-state voters will pave the way. Emerson College polling conducted between Sept. 15 and ...
The 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election will be held on November 4, 2025. Incumbent Republican Governor Glenn Youngkin will be ineligible to run for re-election, as the Constitution of Virginia prohibits the state's governors from serving consecutive terms. Primary elections will take place on June 17, 2025.