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When we find fewer than five polls in 2016 or fewer than two polls since July 2016, we use Cook Political Report ratings to estimate where the race stands. We run the simulations out to Election Day, Nov. 8. Since we don’t have polling data for the future, the model assumes voter intentions generally continue along their current trajectories.
California Libertarian presidential primary, June 7, 2016 [10] Candidate Votes Percentage Gary Johnson: 19,294: 62%: John McAfee: 3,139 10% Austin Petersen: 1,853 6% Rhett Smith 1,531 5% Joy Waymire 923 3% John David Hale 873 3% Marc Allan Feldman 867 3% Jack Robinson Jr. 739 2% Steve Kerbel 556 2% Darryl Perry 521 2% Derrick Michael Reid 462 1 ...
Election 2016 Presidential Forecast. Percent of simulations where each candidate becomes president. Clinton 98.0%. Trump 1.7%. How we calculate this » ...
Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016. He lost the popular vote but won the electoral college . [ 1 ] [ 2 ] Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Hillary Clinton , but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts.
Leading presidential 2016 candidate by electoral vote count. States in gray have no polling data. Polls from lightly shaded states are older than September 1, 2016. This map only represents the most recent statewide polling data; it is not a prediction for the 2016 election.
Election 2016 Presidential Primaries See which candidates lead the pack for their party’s nomination, look up election dates and watch live updates on election nights.
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The historian who correctly predicted 9 of last 10 presidential elections said he feels particularly nervous this year. Who’s winning the election? Legendary predictor Allan Lichtman has ...