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The first dynamical hurricane track forecast model, the Sanders Barotropic Tropical Cyclone Track Prediction Model (SANBAR), [9] was introduced in 1970 and was used by the National Hurricane Center as part of its operational track guidance through 1989. It was based on a simplified set of atmospheric dynamical equations (the equivalent ...
An example of a forecast product from the GFS, in this case a 96-hour forecast of 850 mb geopotential height and temperature. The Global Forecast System (GFS) is a global numerical weather prediction system containing a global computer model and variational analysis run by the United States' National Weather Service (NWS).
The Atlantic hurricane season lasts until Nov. 30. Gabe Hauari is a national trending news reporter at USA TODAY. You can follow him on X @GabeHauari or email him at Gdhauari@gannett.com.
Editor's Note: This page is a summary of news on tropical systems for Saturday, Aug. 31. For the latest on the possibility of new Atlantic storms view our story for Sunday, Sept. 1.. The National ...
The system has maximum sustained winds near 45 mph with higher gusts, and "steady strengthening is forecast," according to the center. The storm is likely to become a hurricane by Tuesday night or ...
The Weather Prediction Center (WPC), located in College Park, Maryland, is one of nine service centers under the umbrella of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), a part of the National Weather Service (NWS), which in turn is part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of the U.S. Government.
Hurricane and storm surge watches have been issued for portions of the Florida Gulf Coast Tuesday as Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine strengthened into Tropical Storm Helene, according to the ...
Of the United States forecasting models, the best performing model for tropical cyclone rainfall forecasting is known as the GFS, or Global Forecasting System. [17] The GFDL model has been shown to have a high bias concerning the magnitude of heavier core rains within tropical cyclones. [ 18 ]