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  2. The tail wags the dog: Top recession indicator now ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/tail-wags-dog-top-recession...

    Recession fears eased over the past week after a weak payroll report initially set off alarms, but concerns continue to linger. For instance, gold prices have set fresh record highs , due in part ...

  3. A new indicator says there's a 40% chance the US is in a recession that started as early as March. The measure builds on the Sahm rule, using job-vacancy data in addition to unemployment data.

  4. US 2025 Recession Odds Plummet: Good News Or Warning Sign? - AOL

    www.aol.com/us-2025-recession-odds-plummet...

    You can invest today for just $0.26/share with a $1000 minimum. ... With major central banks globally expected to continue rate cuts in the coming quarters, a similar scenario cannot be ruled out ...

  5. Is the U.S. headed for a recession? Here's what the experts say.

    www.aol.com/u-headed-recession-heres-experts...

    Typically, a recession is defined by a decline in economic activity that lasts more than a few months, the NBER says. But the U.S. economy is still chugging along, with second-quarter GDP growing ...

  6. Jobs report could trigger closely watched recession indicator

    www.aol.com/finance/jobs-report-could-trigger...

    The Sahm Rule, developed by economist Claudia Sahm, says that the US economy has entered a recession if the three-month average of the national unemployment rate has risen 0.5% or more from the ...

  7. Hitting 'reset' on the US recession countdown: Morning Brief

    www.aol.com/finance/hitting-reset-us-recession...

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  8. Is A Recession Coming In The U.S.? Here's What Experts Say. - AOL

    www.aol.com/news/recession-coming-u-heres...

    Inflation, rising interest rates, the ongoing Ukraine war and the continuing pandemic are raising concerns. Here's what the economic experts say.

  9. Grant Cardone Says a Recession Is Coming, Here Are 3 ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/grant-cardone-says-recession...

    There was a time not long ago when most economists and investors were warning Americans to brace for a near-certain recession in 2023. So far, the downturn hasn't fully materialized, aided by a ...