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New Jersey joined most other blue and blue-leaning states such as New York, California, and Illinois in seeing significant rightward trends in 2024. [3] Trump's over 1.96 million votes is the most received by a Republican in a presidential election in the state's history, surpassing Ronald Reagan's 1.93 million votes from 1984.
Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...
The 1880, 1884 and 1888 elections also stood on the razor’s edge, with New York serving as the tipping-point state in each at a time when it was the country’s most populous state. And in 1916 ...
ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 47.1% to Trump 44.4% compared to one week ago - Harris 47.1% to Trump at 43.9% and compared to two weeks ago - Harris 47.0% to Trump ...
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
However, Trump was able to improve significantly upon his 2016 margins in many of New Jersey's most heavily populated cities, which kept the statewide margin within 2% of the 2016 results. For example, in New Jersey's most populated city, Newark, Trump nearly doubled his 2016 share of the vote, going from 6.63% to 12.25% of the vote. [60]
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Ahead of the election, G. Elliott Morris, the editorial director of data analytics at ABC News, which publishes FiveThirtyEight, wrote about how either Trump or Harris could win decisively in the ...