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Volatility (finance) In finance, volatility (usually denoted by "σ") is the degree of variation of a trading price series over time, usually measured by the standard deviation of logarithmic returns. Historic volatility measures a time series of past market prices. Implied volatility looks forward in time, being derived from the market price ...
The variance is the square of differences of measurements from the mean divided by the number of samples. The standard deviation is the square root of the variance.The standard deviation of the continuously compounded returns of a financial instrument is called volatility.
Expected shortfall (ES) is a risk measure —a concept used in the field of financial risk measurement to evaluate the market risk or credit risk of a portfolio. The "expected shortfall at q% level" is the expected return on the portfolio in the worst of cases. ES is an alternative to value at risk that is more sensitive to the shape of the ...
Modern portfolio theory. Modern portfolio theory (MPT), or mean-variance analysis, is a mathematical framework for assembling a portfolio of assets such that the expected return is maximized for a given level of risk. It is a formalization and extension of diversification in investing, the idea that owning different kinds of financial assets is ...
In statistics, the coefficient of determination, denoted R2 or r2 and pronounced "R squared", is the proportion of the variation in the dependent variable that is predictable from the independent variable (s). It is a statistic used in the context of statistical models whose main purpose is either the prediction of future outcomes or the ...
Variance inflation factor. In statistics, the variance inflation factor (VIF) is the ratio (quotient) of the variance of a parameter estimate when fitting a full model that includes other parameters to the variance of the parameter estimate if the model is fit with only the parameter on its own. [1] The VIF provides an index that measures how ...
The larger the variance, the greater risk the security carries. Finding the square root of this variance will give the standard deviation of the investment tool in question. Financial time series are known to be non-stationary series, whereas the statistical calculations above, such as standard deviation, apply only to stationary series.
Sum ← Sum + x. SumSq ← SumSq + x × x. Var = (SumSq − (Sum × Sum) / n) / (n − 1) This algorithm can easily be adapted to compute the variance of a finite population: simply divide by n instead of n − 1 on the last line. Because SumSq and (Sum×Sum)/n can be very similar numbers, cancellation can lead to the precision of the result to ...