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The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States.It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.
Allan Lichtman, Distinguished Professor at American University and author of "Predicting The Next President, the Keys to the White House 2012" discusses his 13 keys to a successful election ...
The system, dubbed the "13 Keys to the White House" uses – you guessed it – thirteen true-or-false statements rooted in historical analysis about the state of the country, the parties and the ...
Lichtman's keys include whether: The White House party gained House seats during the midterm elections. The sitting president is running for reelection.
Lichtman's "13 Keys to the White House" include: Key 1 (Party Mandate): After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than it did after the ...
He emphasized Tuesday the 13 keys he uses to make his predictions have not changed and criticized the prevalence of polling ... is indicative of who will win the 2024 race for the White House. ...
Historian Allan Lichtman answers questions during an interview in Bethesda, Maryland, on Sept. 7, 2024. Lichtman created a model using 13 true/false criteria to predict whether the presidential ...
Silver's bulletin forecast vs. Lichtman's '13 Keys to the White House' Silver's final 2024 presidential election forecast had Harris as the winner by a razor-thin margin after she won 40,012 of ...