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The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States.It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.
Allan Jay Lichtman (/ ˈ l ɪ k t m ən /; born April 4, 1947) is an American historian who has taught at American University in Washington, D.C. since 1973. He is known for creating the Keys to the White House with Soviet seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981.
Allan Lichtman's prediction on whether Trump or Harris will win the 2024 presidential election based on his 13 keys for a ... the Keys to the White House 2012" discusses his 13 keys to a ...
The system, dubbed the "13 Keys to the White House" uses – you guessed it – thirteen true-or-false statements rooted in historical analysis about the state of the country, the parties and the ...
Lichtman's keys include whether: The White House party gained House seats during the midterm elections. The sitting president is running for reelection.
Sources of party cohesion in the U.S. House of Representatives (1974) Helmut Norpoth (born 1943) is an American political scientist and professor of political science at Stony Brook University . Norpoth is best known for developing the Primary Model to predict United States presidential elections .
Allan Lichtman, Distinguished Professor at American University and author of "Predicting The Next President, the Keys to the White House 2012" discusses his 13 keys to a successful election ...
Here’s how his model works: If six or more of the keys cut against the party in the White House, they're predicted to lose. ... In 2000, Lichtman said eight of the 13 keys could be good news for ...