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The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States.It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.
He is known for creating the Keys to the White House with Soviet seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981. The Keys to the White House is a system that uses 13 true/false criteria to predict whether the presidential candidate of the incumbent party will win or lose the next election. [2]
2016 United States presidential election ← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 → 538 members of the Electoral College 270 electoral votes needed to win Opinion polls Turnout 60.1% (1.5 pp) Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Party Republican Democratic Home state New York New York Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine Electoral vote 304 [a] 227 [a] States carried 30 + ME-02 20 + DC Popular vote ...
The result was a shock as Clinton was considered a heavy favorite to take the White House. "It was a little bit of a traumatic election," Anna Moody, a Democratic voter in Santa Clarita ...
With the 2018 midterm elections approaching next year, political analysts and campaign officials will looking to the 2016 electoral map as a roadmap to how party politics played out throughout the ...
Where lower educated white working women went for Trump by more than 20 points in the 2016 election, Borger emphasized this voting reality as crucial to the Trump campaign's success -- saying it ...
Despite the attention for predicting Trump would win in 2016, Norpoth's election model only said that Trump would win the two-party popular vote 52.5% to 47.5%; Trump actually lost the 2016 two-party popular vote 48.2% to 46.1%, and the Primary Model for the next elections was modified to predict only the Electoral College votes as a result.
His method for forecasting the race so accurately is known as “The Keys to the White House,” a system he devised with the Russian academic Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981. ... time in 1984 and ...