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The betting site Polymarket has emerged as a hot topic in the 2024 presidential race. Trump's odds of winning are at 66% there based on bets. National polls generally show the race tied.
The presidential election betting odds gives Donald Trump a 61 percent chance to beat Vice President Kamala Harris in next month's election.
Betsson, Bwin, Points Bet, Polymarket and Smarkets now have the race as a pick'em. Betfair gives Trump a 1% edge over Harris, 48% to 47%. Bvoda still has Harris ahead, 51% to 49%.
On October 7, 2024, Polymarket showed a spike in the odds Donald Trump would win the 2024 election, to 53.3%, with a corresponding decline in Kamala Harris's odds, to 46.1%. Two Polymarket competitors continued to show Harris with better odds of winning, at about 51%; Polymarket also showed a slight edge for Harris throughout September.
Here are some of the most popular bets on Kalshi and Polymarket now that the election is over. Super Bowl Champion 2025 The Chargers and Chiefs last faced off in January 2024.
Polymarket gives Trump even better odds, 51-44. Smarkets has the race at a dead heat, 48-48. The odds swung over the weekend when Trump's odds of winning Pennsylvania went up.
The odds slightly narrowed in the few days before, but by the time the first major polls closed at 6 p.m. ET Tuesday evening, the markets showed around 60% odds for Trump.
Prediction markets show Trump leading Harris in 2024 election odds. The betting platform Polymarket has seen its trading volume surge, with $1.24 billion in October alone.