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  2. Harris-Trump polls tighten, but PredictIt and Polymarket tell ...

    www.aol.com/finance/harris-trump-polls-tighten...

    Meanwhile, Polymarket shows Trump has a 54% chance of winning the presidential election with Harris trailing behind at just a 45.3% chance. PredictIt’s markets are a little closer.

  3. Trump’s chances dip slightly on Polymarket, Cooper favored as ...

    www.aol.com/finance/trump-chances-dip-slightly...

    Her odds of becoming the next president have jumped from 18% to 29% on Polymarket, and up from 27% to 40% on PredictIt. FiveThirtyEight’s approval poll show a 50% disapproval rating for the vice ...

  4. How prediction markets saw something the polls and pundits didn’t

    www.aol.com/prediction-markets-saw-something...

    The emergence of that so-called Trump whale sparked intense scrutiny of Polymarket over the past several weeks, because it sure looked possible that an anonymous deep-pocketed investor was trying ...

  5. Polymarket users are betting on Scott Bessent to be Trump’s ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-users-betting...

    The prediction market Polymarket had Donald Trump favored to win the presidential election, and then he became the president-elect, again. Now people are betting on who will be his pick for ...

  6. Here's what people are betting on in prediction markets now ...

    www.aol.com/heres-people-betting-prediction...

    Here are some of the most popular bets on Kalshi and Polymarket now that the election is over. Super Bowl Champion 2025 The Chargers and Chiefs last faced off in January 2024.

  7. Traders on Polymarket are betting on Harris’s odds of beating ...

    www.aol.com/finance/traders-polymarket-betting...

    PredictIt, a site that sprang out of a project from Victoria University of Wellington, has been around for a decade. But Polymarket began generating buzz this summer after a string of correct ...

  8. Why prediction markets can be more accurate than polls at ...

    www.aol.com/why-prediction-markets-more-accurate...

    Prediction markets can be more accurate than polling when it comes to elections, a professor told Business Insider. There's over $606 million wagered on the 2024 election on Polymarket, favoring a ...

  9. Polymarket predicted Trump's win. Now comes the hard part.

    www.aol.com/news/polymarket-predicted-trumps-win...

    Polymarket and Kalshi were big winners of the election. But can they maintain their momentum until 2028?